Primary intended purpose of EP Predict

EP - Predict Engine is a clinical decision support tool intended to facilitate individualised discussions between medically trained professionals and patients about their individual risk of multiple serious illnesses, taking account of their demographic and medical profile.

This enables shared decision making, allowing patients to understand their risk and discuss actions that could be taken in the context of other important factors to reduce their risk, including local prevalence, risk appetite, occupation, and personal circumstances.

Clinical conversations could include advice to limit the risks of developing adverse serious illnesses, health promotion opportunities (such as losing weight) to reduce the risk of developing serious illness, and undertaking further investigations to help inform clinical decisions.

EP - Predict Engine has been developed for potential use by systems operating in the public health and individual health domain. It supports methods such as risk stratification through the use of a batch processor.

EP - Predict Engine has been developed so that it can be used by other systems. The engine is not used to produce user interfaces directly, or provide advice to clinicians or patients. It is intended to quantify risk over time and provide information on how the risk was calculated.

The product can be used either as a standalone software library by other devices, or accessed by applications via a web-based API. It can provide output for a single profile of one person or for a set of profiles using the batch processor.

It is intended that EP - Predict Engine will be licensed to other medical device manufacturers, allowing them to produce their own applications that include EP - Predict Engine as a component. Evidence for EP - Predict Engine shall be through the reference implementation for the EP - Predict Online Risk Calculator.

Permitted usage

It is intended to be used by applications that provide support for population health reporting or risk stratification, or to aid in clinical decision making by clinicians, or to inform patients as users of those applications.

It is intended that these applications should be registered as devices in line with their countries' policies and are likely to be used by:

  • Clinicians at the point of care or as a clinical reference for individual patient care, to supplement but not replace medical decision making.
  • People seeking information on their personal risk.
  • Applications used to support secondary uses including risk stratification, research, and public health.
Permitted users

The device as an API can only be used by applications acting as a client to the Engine.

The intended users of those applications are clinicians (doctors, nurses, health care assistants) who undertake risk assessments with an individual patient in a consulting setting to calculate their risk and better understand the factors that contribute to that risk.

The device as a batch processor can be used by clinicians, researchers, or population health managers when applied to a population in batch mode to stratify risk for population-health-based management or research.

With suitable support and data access, it could be used by patients for self-assessment (for example, via the NHS app or a website).